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Total of 66 entries : 1-50 51-66
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Fri, 16 Oct 2026 (showing 14 of 14 entries )

[1] arXiv:2610.21980 [pdf, html, other]
Title: A Bayesian Spatially Varying Coefficient Model for Surface Urban Heat Island Estimation
Marika D'Agostini, Massimo Ventrucci, Francesca K. de'Donato, Andrea Ranzi
Comments: 24 pages, 7 images, 4 ancillary materials
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[2] arXiv:2610.21836 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Contact, Power, and Balls in Play: A Three-Rate Decomposition of Batting Average and the Disappearance of the .400 Hitter
Jim Albert
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[3] arXiv:2610.21432 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Trial design considerations in the face of overdispersion and time-varying event rates: a meta-regression approach with an application in asthma
Bohua Chen, Christian Röver, Stefan Andreas, Christian Taube, Tim Friede
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP); Methodology (stat.ME)
[4] arXiv:2610.21079 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Reliability and Preventive Maintenance for Multivariate Gamma Degradation with Shared Random Effects and Cumulative Environmental Shock Damage
Jiale Niu
Comments: Gamma process; Random effects; Environmental shock damage; Variational inference; Degradation; Preventive replacement
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[5] arXiv:2610.21023 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Beyond Match Results: Bayesian Mediation of Ability, Performance, and Winning in Professional Tennis
Guanyu Hu, Xiao Wang
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP); Methodology (stat.ME)
[6] arXiv:2610.21021 [pdf, html, other]
Title: GeoMix: A Bayesian Framework for Stratigraphic and Geotechnical Inference
Bradley Wakefield, Michael Bertolacci, David Gunawan, Fraser Bransby, Phil Watson, Andrew Zammit-Mangion
Comments: 72 pages (including 31 pages of manuscript, 36 pages of supplementary material, and 5 pages of references). Includes 21 figures and 6 tables. Supplementary material contains additional methodological details, computational algorithms, and simulation results. Currently under revision
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[7] arXiv:2610.20833 [pdf, other]
Title: Challenges and Opportunities in Statistical Analyses and Designs for Neuroscience Clinical Trials
Jia Jia, Man Jin, Bo Lu, Jianchang Lin, Inna Perevozskaya, Hui Yang, Nan Hu, Yi Lu, Qi Q, Jonathan Hartzel, Shouhao Zhou, Shyla Jagannatha, Wei Michelle Zhang
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[8] arXiv:2610.21648 (cross-list from stat.CO) [pdf, html, other]
Title: conformalForecast: An R package for sequential conformal prediction in time series
Xiaoqian Wang, Daniele Girolimetto
Subjects: Computation (stat.CO); Applications (stat.AP); Methodology (stat.ME)
[9] arXiv:2610.21626 (cross-list from physics.soc-ph) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Reliability-Aware Refinement of High-Resolution Human Mobility Origin-Destination Tables under Sparsity and Suppression
Yohei Shida, Ryosuke Susuta, Takuhiro Moriyama, Jun'ichi Ozaki
Comments: 7 main figures and 10 supplementary figures. Supplementary Information is included after the main manuscript
Subjects: Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph); Applications (stat.AP)
[10] arXiv:2610.21296 (cross-list from econ.EM) [pdf, html, other]
Title: On the fairness of single round-robin tournaments: Evidence from European football
László Csató, Diána Ivett Fűrész, Zsolt Havran
Comments: 19 pages, 1 figure, 9 tables
Subjects: Econometrics (econ.EM); Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph); Applications (stat.AP)
[11] arXiv:2610.21252 (cross-list from eess.SP) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Finite-History Outage Certification for Partially Observed Fluid Antenna Receivers
Yuanjun Shen
Subjects: Signal Processing (eess.SP); Information Theory (cs.IT); Applications (stat.AP)
[12] arXiv:2610.21224 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Bayesian Nonparametric Longitudinal Factor Model for Microbiome Counts
Shuangjie Zhang, Seoyeon Ok, Arul Jayaraman, Kirsten Landrock, Ivan Ivanov, Robert S. Chapkin, Yang Ni
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP)
[13] arXiv:2610.20799 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: A Geometric Framework for the Bayesian Estimation of Joint Environmental Extremes
Reetam Majumder, Callum J. R. Murphy-Barltrop
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP)
[14] arXiv:2610.20759 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: The Reach of Treatment Effects: Randomization Inference for Zero-Effect Regions
Pengyu Li, Yao Zhang
Comments: 57 pages, 9 figures
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP); Computation (stat.CO)

Thu, 15 Oct 2026 (showing 8 of 8 entries )

[15] arXiv:2610.20519 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Probabilistic AI models outperform numerical weather prediction models on record breaking heat extremes
Jakob Benjamin Wessel, Fiona Spuler, Christopher A. T. Ferro, Marlene Kretschmer, Sebastian Sippel
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP); Geophysics (physics.geo-ph)
[16] arXiv:2610.20098 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Predicting future insurance markets: Simulation of technology adoption paths with a Bayesian Bass model
Markus Johannes Maier, Matthias Scherer
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[17] arXiv:2610.20094 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Discrete p-Fold Directional Models for Binned Orientation Data with Applications to Sand-Grain Orientations and Urban Street Networks
Brajesh Kumar Dhakad, Jayant Jha
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[18] arXiv:2610.20525 (cross-list from cs.LG) [pdf, html, other]
Title: The Physics Is the Network: Fast, Training-Free Neural Emulation
Luka Todorovic, Kaushal Gianchandani, Sai Ravela
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Systems and Control (eess.SY); Chaotic Dynamics (nlin.CD); Applications (stat.AP)
[19] arXiv:2610.19903 (cross-list from math.ST) [pdf, html, other]
Title: A New Perspective on Cumulative Residual Rényi Entropy
Shubham Babasaheb Alte, Swaroop Georgy Zachariah, Mohd. Arshad
Comments: 22 pages, 4 figures
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Applications (stat.AP)
[20] arXiv:2610.19353 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Longitudinal Brain Aging in Covariance Space: Temporally Calibrated Bayesian Inference for Adaptive Covariance Operators
Montserrat Fuentes, Yi Zhao
Comments: 32 pages, 4 figures, 2 tables. Supplementary materials: 8 pages, 3 figures, 1 table. Includes theoretical results, technical details, and a simulation study
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP); Computation (stat.CO)
[21] arXiv:2610.19144 (cross-list from physics.soc-ph) [pdf, html, other]
Title: A Sociophysics Approach to Measuring Democracy in the Decision Making of a Group: Three Indices
Sudipto Roy
Comments: 51 pages, 8 figures, 13 tables
Subjects: Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph); Applications (stat.AP)
[22] arXiv:2610.19098 (cross-list from eess.SY) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Global Parameter Identification and Uncertainty Quantification of reduced-order ADM1 using Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Bayesian Inference
Simon Hellmann, Leander Lerch, Terrance Wilms, Moritz Reumschüssel, Alberto Meola, Félix Delory, Steffi Knorn, Stefan Streif, Sören Weinrich
Comments: v1: first upload of extended version
Subjects: Systems and Control (eess.SY); Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science (cs.CE); Applications (stat.AP)

Wed, 14 Oct 2026 (showing 21 of 21 entries )

[23] arXiv:2610.18795 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Discrete-Time Survival Modelling with Dynamic Industrial Graphs for Mortgage Credit Risk
Shiqi Fang
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP); Risk Management (q-fin.RM)
[24] arXiv:2610.18592 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Women and the Nobel Prize in the sciences: an update to 2026
Per Lunnemann, Liselotte Jauffred
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[25] arXiv:2610.17119 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Spatial Partner Markets: Effective Competition, Scale, and Opportunity
Curren K. Mehta
Comments: 13 pages, 14 tables
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[26] arXiv:2610.17115 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Machine Learning Models Trained on a Longitudinal Survey Dataset Poorly Predict Hundreds of Life Outcomes
Emily M. Cantrell, Pranay Anchuri, Hanzhang Ren, Matthew J. Salganik
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[27] arXiv:2610.16729 [pdf, other]
Title: Quantifying Precision in Measurement of Individualized, Evidence-Based Learning Across Sessions in Applied Behavior Analysis Therapy
Mark Louie F. Ramos, Reetam Majumder, Ji Young Kim, Jonathan W. Ivy
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[28] arXiv:2610.16311 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Measuring intraday return-shape geometry with modified Brownian motion
Mattera Raffaele, Rajabali Ghasem Pour, Parmjit Kaur, Valerio Ficcadenti, Gurjeet Dhesi
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[29] arXiv:2610.15065 [pdf, html, other]
Title: A model-assisted design for phase I oncology drug combination trials incorporating backfill
Connor Celum (1), Evan M. Bagley (2 and 3) ((1) Statistics Department, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, USA, (2) Department of Public Health Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, USA, (3) Hollings Cancer Center, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, USA)
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP); Methodology (stat.ME)
[30] arXiv:2610.14206 [pdf, other]
Title: Changing Geographies of Violence in North and West Africa
Steven M. Radil, Olivier J. Walther, Mohammed Sanda
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[31] arXiv:2610.18732 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: From Fourier Amplitudes to Persistence Images for Impact-Echo Defect Detection
Keunsu Kim, Suyoung Choi, Meiyan Kang
Comments: 32 pages, 5 figures, including supplementary material
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[32] arXiv:2610.17550 (cross-list from physics.soc-ph) [pdf, other]
Title: Hurricane recovery gaps lie in reconnection, not local restart
Angelina Liu, Mengqiu Cao, Sen Pei, Qing Yao
Subjects: Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph); Applications (stat.AP)
[33] arXiv:2610.17458 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Selective Inference for Clustering Under Unknown Covariance
Yiqun T. Chen, Lucy L. Gao
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Applications (stat.AP)
[34] arXiv:2610.17340 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Frequentist and Bayesian population pharmacometrics: similarities, differences, and practical implications
Jodie A. Cochrane, Haini Wen, Liang Yang, Tyler Cassidy, Sara Hamis
Comments: 23 pages, 9 figures
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP)
[35] arXiv:2610.17186 (cross-list from astro-ph.CO) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Beyond the Kullback--Leibler divergence: the likelihood-ratio distribution as a detectability measure
Amirhossein Samandar, Mikel Martin Barandiaran, Linn Htat Lu, Andrew H. Jaffe, Deyan P. Mihaylov, Glenn D. Starkman, Cynthia Trendafilova, Yashar Akrami, Stefano Anselmi, Javier Carrón Duque, Craig J. Copi, Fernando Cornet-Gomez, Arthur Kosowsky, Anna Negro, Ricardo G. Rodrigues, Andrius Tamosiunas (COMPACT Collaboration)
Comments: 22 pages, 5 figures, 1 table
Subjects: Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics (astro-ph.CO); Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics (astro-ph.IM); Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability (physics.data-an); Applications (stat.AP); Methodology (stat.ME)
[36] arXiv:2610.15649 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: One Goodness-of-Fit Test Is Not Enough: Error-Controlled Localization of Misfit in Logistic Risk Models
Ebrahim Khaled Ebrahim, Ahmed El-Kotory, Osama Abd El-Aziz Hussein
Comments: 41 pages, 5 figures, 18 tables, including appendices with the proofs and additional studies. Code, per-data-set results and data: doi:http://hfffh3d25a792315f4bd8s9vn6n5bx59u6660b.ffgi.hlju.cwkeji.cn/10.5281/zenodo.23192535. The procedures are implemented in the R package this http URL (version 2.10.0, functions this http URL and this http URL)
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP)
[37] arXiv:2610.15194 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Precision follows the decision: how well an acceptance probability is known for mean-spread release rules
Remus Osan
Comments: 63 pages (29-page article followed by the supplementary appendices), 11 figures. Builds on arXiv:2609.21577
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP)
[38] arXiv:2610.15149 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: A Cosine-Projection Framework for Choosing Among Cox HR, D-RMST, and Average-Hazard Tests in Survival Trials
Xiang Meng, Lu Tian, Hajime Uno
Comments: 29 pages, 7 figures, 10 tables
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP)
[39] arXiv:2610.14912 (cross-list from cs.AI) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Probable but Not Valid: A Psychometric Audit of Decision Models as Synthetic Survey Respondents
Mantas Lukauskas, Viktorija Šarkauskaitė
Comments: 36 pages, 6 figures, 16 tables. Code, raw model outputs and tables are available from the corresponding author on request
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computers and Society (cs.CY); Applications (stat.AP)
[40] arXiv:2610.14642 (cross-list from q-bio.QM) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification of Breast-Cancer Pathology AI Agreement under Reader- and Annotation-Condition-Dependent Reference Labels
Hammed A. Olayinka
Comments: In Review with Journal of Medical Imaging
Subjects: Quantitative Methods (q-bio.QM); Applications (stat.AP); Computation (stat.CO); Methodology (stat.ME)
[41] arXiv:2610.14618 (cross-list from astro-ph.GA) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Beyond the Damped Random Walk: Multiband AGN Variability from SDSS to Rubin LSST
Izak Schmidlkofer, Zhirui Hu, Weixiang Yu, Hyungsuk Tak
Comments: 22 pages, 5 figures
Subjects: Astrophysics of Galaxies (astro-ph.GA); Applications (stat.AP)
[42] arXiv:2610.14384 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Decomposing the spectral density function of an ARMA process
Darlin Soto-Vásquez, Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco, Giovanni Motta, Malgorzata Sobolewska
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP)
[43] arXiv:2610.14199 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Dynamic Extended Generalized Many-Facet Rasch Model: A Unified Approach to Rater-Mediated Assessment
Giuseppe Mignemi, Patrícia Martinková, Sally Paganin
Comments: 64 pages, 23 figures, 11 tables
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP)

Mon, 12 Oct 2026 (showing first 7 of 10 entries )

[44] arXiv:2610.13588 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Probabilistic Forecasting of Electric Vehicle Charging in a Time-varying Hierarchical Infrastructure
Guillaume Principato, Yvenn Amara-Ouali, Yannig Goude, Bachir Hamrouche, Jean-Michel Poggi
Comments: 34 pages, 11 figures, 6 tables
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[45] arXiv:2610.13552 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Warning of infrastructure deformation anomaly through probabilistic analysis of InSAR observations
Hao Kuai, Na Hao, Pantelis Karamitopoulos, Alice Cicirello, Giorgia Giardina
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP); Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability (physics.data-an)
[46] arXiv:2610.13459 [pdf, html, other]
Title: A functional mixed-effects model for the joint analysis of amplitude and phase variations in function-valued traits
Yilin Chen, Davide Pigoli, John A.D. Aston, Patrick A. Carter
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
[47] arXiv:2610.13604 (cross-list from cs.CV) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Thyroid Nodule Segmentation in Ultrasound Images with Conformal Uncertainty Estimation
Francesco Teodori, Pierpaolo Brutti, Umberto Ferraro Petrillo
Comments: Presented at the CIBB 2026 conference
Subjects: Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV); Applications (stat.AP)
[48] arXiv:2610.13446 (cross-list from econ.EM) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Realized Tail-Risk Conditional Autoregressive Expectile Models: Accurate and Stable Forecasting Performance
Keisuke Sasaki, Yasuhiro Omori
Subjects: Econometrics (econ.EM); Risk Management (q-fin.RM); Applications (stat.AP)
[49] arXiv:2610.13387 (cross-list from eess.IV) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Radiomics-Based Thyroid Nodule Classification with Label-Conditional Conformal Prediction
Laura Testa, Pierpaolo Brutti, Umberto Ferraro Petrillo
Comments: Accepted at the CIBB 2026 conference (this https URL)
Subjects: Image and Video Processing (eess.IV); Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV); Applications (stat.AP)
[50] arXiv:2610.13001 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Design-based effect sizes and their synthesis in randomized multiple-baseline experiments
Xinyuan Chen, Zhigao Liang
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Applications (stat.AP)
Total of 66 entries : 1-50 51-66
Showing up to 50 entries per page: fewer | more | all